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An Appetite For Jumbo Loans Returns

September 5, 2007

Yesterday was a rather drab day in mortgage circles — not much happened and mortgage rates idled.  The bigger story was how liquidity appears to be slowly returning to some areas of the beaten-down mortgage market. Specifically, liquidity is returning to prime, fixed-rate, full documentation jumbo loans and pricing appears to be improving (slightly). The […]

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The Week In Review (September 4, 2007) : What To Watch For

September 4, 2007

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke took the pulpit Friday in Jackson Hole but his remarks made little impact on mortgage bond trading. The Fed is aware of economic issues related to housing and mortgage debt, Bernanke said. He implied that the Fed wants more evidence that inflation has slowed before taking more drastic measures to help […]

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The Fed Descends On Jackson Hole, The Market Won’t Get What It’s Looking For

August 31, 2007

Today is a holiday-shortened session but that doesn’t mean that the markets will be on vacation. The day’s big event is Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s speech at the Fed’s annual symposium in Jackson Hole, WY. Investors will dissect every phrase looking for clues about the economy and housing. More importantly, markets want some advance […]

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How The Stock Market Rally Changed Mortgage Pricing For The Worse

August 30, 2007

Mortgage rates unexpectedly increased yesterday afternoon as the U.S. stock market staged a late rally. By the end of the day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 1.9 percent, or 247.77 points. This is a typical pattern. When stocks are moving higher, investors want to ride the wave and look for sources of cash.  […]

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How Credit Cards May Be Replacing Home Equity As A Funding Source

August 29, 2007

As mortgage guidelines loosened between 2002 and 2006, homeowners often used their home equity to retire credit card and other consumer debt.  They did this by increasing the size of the mortgage and taking “cash out” from their home. As you’d expect, this type of mortgage transaction is called a “cash out” refinance. Well, now […]

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What’s The Existing Home Sales Report Got To Do With You? Nothing.

August 28, 2007

When the National Association of Realtors® releases its monthly Existing Home Sales report, people tend to watch every word, fact and figure in the statement in hopes of decoding the real estate market. It’s all wasted energy. It’s impossible to use the NAR report in everyday living because the NAR report is a national story.  […]

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The Week In Review (August 27, 2007) : What To Watch For

August 27, 2007

This week is data-heavy so markets will finally get to focus on fundamentals instead of fear. For the past two weeks, uncertainty about the economy has led to psychologically-driven mortgage interest rate movements. Rising defaults devalue mortgage holdings and many investors are now expecting the defaults levels to rise even more. When defaults exceed expectations, […]

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Why Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI) Is Suddenly Popular

August 22, 2007

Suddenly, Private Mortgage Insurance is back in vogue.  If only by default. The story background is well-documented in this Bankrate.com article from 2002.  The article is five years old, but it still raises some salient points. What the article doesn’t highlight is that second mortgages such as home equity loans are typically sold to Wall Street, […]

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Like The Fed Funds Rate, The Fed’s Discount Rate Does Not Control Mortgage Rates

August 21, 2007

Friday, the Federal Reserve lowered its Discount Rate by 0.50% in an effort to preserve liquidity among our nation’s banks. This has nothing to do with mortgage rates that people like you and I get for our homes.  Well, not directly at least. The Discount Rate is the rate at which banks borrow money from the […]

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The Week In Review (August 20, 2007) : What To Watch For

August 20, 2007

Again last week, financiers failed to answer the major question dogging Wall Street: What is the “right” risk model to use for mortgage lending?  The models of the past are being proven to have been wrong. So, why do risk models matter? Because the basic tenet of lending states that the riskier the loan, the […]

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Why The Mortgage “Crisis” Is Not A “Crisis” For Everyone

August 17, 2007

Another day, another batch of Gloom-and-Doom stories in the news.  Remember to keep a level head — the media’s job, in part, is to sell newspapers and capture eyeballs.  Using the word “crisis” repeatedly is one way to meet that goal. A few facts to keep it all in perspective: There are still BILLIONS of […]

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Is Your Loan Officer Incorrectly Reading In Which Direction Mortgage Bonds Are Moving?

August 16, 2007

As we discuss over and over again, mortgage interest rates are determined by the price of mortgage bonds.  Nothing else, and nothing more.  The challenge in that truth is that mortgage bond pricing is not very accessible to the general public. This includes the press. As a result, the media tends to use a government […]

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A Few Good Reasons To Ignore Your Mortgage Prepayment Penalty

August 15, 2007

Industry trade magazine Inside B&C Lending pegs the 2006 dollar volume of new sub-prime loans at $640 billion.  According to the Real Estate Charts chart above, 78% of those dollars were in 2-year adjustable loans. A loan of this variety is often called a 2/28 (“two twenty-eight”). A 2/28 originated in 2006 will reach its […]

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The Fed Funds Rate Does Not Directly Impact Mortgage Rates

August 14, 2007

It’s been on the news a few times lately, so let’s address a key misconception about the Fed and its relationship to mortgage rates. The markets now anticipate that the Fed will lower the Fed Funds Rate within the next 45 days.  As a mortgage rate shopper, there’s not much reason to be interested.  That’s […]

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The Week In Review (August 13, 2007) : What To Watch For

August 13, 2007

After all the volatility and talk of a global crumble, all of the major U.S. stock indices posts gains last week.  It just goes to show you what a strange roller coaster ride we’re all on. Last week, the market bounced its way through: The Fed’s press release stating that inflation is still a concern […]

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What’s The True Risk In Mortgage Lending? It’s Anyone’s Guess Right Now.

August 10, 2007

Any security — stock, bond, or otherwise — has a specific risk associated with it.  Based on that risk, an investor decides whether or not the price is worth paying.  If the security is a “good value”, an investor will buy it.  If not, the investor will pass. Until recently, mortgage bonds were considered a […]

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A Web Site Made Just For Your Street

August 9, 2007

“If only I knew what my street was like before I bought the house!” Ignore the statewide statistics, forget the city figures.  Phooey to the neighborhood.  Reinforcing the notion that all real estate is local, meet Street Advisor, the definitive guide to America’s many streets. Unfortunately, there just hasn’t been enough helpful information catalogued just […]

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Awaiting The Fed’s Next Statement

August 7, 2007

The stock market bounced back yesterday from Friday’s losses, adding 287 points.  There wasn’t much activity in mortgage rates, though, which remained relatively flat. Right now, it’s all eyes on the Federal Open Market Committee and their 2:15 P.M. ET press release. For as many people that want the Fed to make a powerful statement about […]

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The Week In Review (August 6, 2007) : What To Watch For

August 6, 2007

In a week in which several high-profile mortgage lenders closed their doors, not all news was bad. Mortgages rates for home loans bought by the quasi-government groups Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac actually dropped a bit. If you only watched the news, or market commentary on CNBC, though, you likely have the wrong idea about […]

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What If You Got To The Closing Table And The Money Never Showed Up?

August 3, 2007

Several high-profile mortgage lenders, including American Home Mortgage, closed their doors this week and stopped funding loans.  Others dramatically limited their list of “eligible” borrowers. Many buyers and sellers across the country have been stranded at the closing table without funds this week, only adding to the confusion. Because the story is not getting much […]

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