economy

The Week In Review (January 2, 2008) : What To Watch For

January 2, 2008

It’s a short, but heavy, week for mortgage markets.  Investors are returning to the fray after a few lighter-than-normal weeks and their return should bring some stability to mortgage rates. Last week, mortgage bond prices rose which, in turn, moved mortgage rates down. The main reason for last week’s rate improvement was the assassination of […]

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The Week In Review (January 2, 2008) : What To Watch For

January 2, 2008

It’s a short, but heavy, week for mortgage markets.  Investors are returning to the fray after a few lighter-than-normal weeks and their return should bring some stability to mortgage rates. Last week, mortgage bond prices rose which, in turn, moved mortgage rates down. The main reason for last week’s rate improvement was the assassination of […]

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Holiday Spending APPEARS To Be Lower, But It Isn’t Really Lower

December 26, 2007

During the Holiday Season, economists watch consumer spending intently because it makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. When spending is stronger-than-expected, it can lead to inflation which pushes mortgage rates higher. So far this season, mortgage shoppers should be in good spirits.  Sales have fallen four weeks in a row and the outlook for a late-December rally […]

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The Week In Review (December 24, 2007) : What To Watch For

December 24, 2007

Mortgage rates moved away from the best levels of the year last week with force, and this week could resemble last. Markets have been grappling with conflicting signals about the U.S. economy. On one hand, there is evidence of inflation in the form of higher cost of living.  On the other hand, there is evidence […]

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Why Credit Card Holders May Benefit From The Fed’s Actions Today

December 11, 2007

The Federal Open Market Committee meets today and will release a public statement at 2:15 P.M. ET. It is widely expected that the FOMC will lower the Fed Funds Rate by at least 0.250%. When the FOMC lowers the Fed Funds Rate, it is trying to “loosen” credit for American businesses and consumers.  When credit […]

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The Week In Review (December 10, 2007) : What To Watch For

December 10, 2007

Among lingering doubts about housing and credit markets, and a general uncertainty about the U.S. economy, the mortgage bond market tanked towards the latter part of last week. As investors moved away from mortgage bonds, mortgage rates forcefully bounced off their two-year lows. A major factor behind last week’s run-up in rates is the market […]

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The Week In Review (December 3, 2007) : What To Watch For

December 3, 2007

If you enjoy roller coaster rides, last week’s mortgage markets were a delight.  Up and down mortgage rates went, trying to find a balance between inflation and recession (or maybe neither). A major cue for markets last week came from a high-ranking Fed official who raised expectations for future cuts to the Fed Funds Rate.  […]

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Why You Should Remain In “Ready Position” For Your Mortgage Rate

November 28, 2007

Easy come, easy go. There was a strong rally Monday afternoon in the mortgage bond market.  It was sudden and furious, mostly coming on in the last 60 minutes of trading. When markets closed, mortgage rates for conforming home loans were grazing their lowest levels in nearly two years. It lasted overnight and into the […]

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Black Friday Trivia

November 23, 2007

Today is “Black Friday”, a day that many Americans get started on their Holiday Season shopping. Did you know? The earliest known reference to “Black Friday” is November 29, 1975.  The term was mentioned in two separate articles, both with Philadelphia timelines.  Therefore, the term Black Friday is believed to have originated in Philadelphia. Did […]

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The Week In Review (November 19, 2007) : What To Watch For

November 19, 2007

In a holiday-shortened week with no major economic data releases, expect worries about the credit markets and speculation about holiday shopping to take center stage. Last week was a mixed bag for the economy and mortgage markets responded in kind.  Rates were relatively unchanged. The news started with Wednesday’s Retail Sales report.  In showing a […]

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The Cost Of Living Includes The Cost Of Gas And Food (And May Get More Expensive Through The Winter)

November 16, 2007

October’s Consumer Price Index was released Thursday and showed a 3.5 percent increase in the cost of living since October 2006. The report also showed a core inflation rate of 2.2 percent. The “core CPI” is a smaller part of the overall CPI. The math is the same, but it specifically excludes cost changes in […]

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Where You Find Speculators, You May Also Find Failures

November 14, 2007

This morning, RealtyTrac released its Q3 2007 foreclosure data for the United States. The leading cities for foreclosures are: Stockton, CA (1 per 31 households) Detroit, MI (1 per 33 households) Riverside/San Bernardino, CA (1 per 43 households) Fort Lauderdale, FL (1 per 48 households) Las Vegas, NV (1 per 48 households) Sacramento, CA (1 […]

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The Week In Review (November 13, 2007) : What To Watch For

November 13, 2007

The Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ shed 4.1% and 6.5%, respectively, last week. Normally, this would be good news for mortgage rates because investors tend to look for “safe havens” in bond issues, but instead, just treasuries benefited last week.  Mortgage bonds were left in the dust. Mortgage rates finished to the upside after […]

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The Week In Review (November 05, 2007) : What To Watch For

November 4, 2007

As we saw last week, the economy is simultaneously hot and cold.  This makes for a strange ride on Wall Street because stocks and bonds tend to move on emotion rather than on fact. This “mob mentality” is one reason why mortgage rates have bounced up and down so much lately. For example, we saw […]

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It’s A Terrific Time To Revisit Your Mortgage Rate

November 2, 2007

If you bought your home in 2007 and your mortgage is a conforming home loan, you may be able to take advantage of  the current mortgage market conditions and lower your mortgage rate. As of this morning, mortgage rates are near their lowest levels of the year. Of course, not every conforming borrower is eligible. […]

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What Is The Fed Funds Rate?

October 31, 2007

The Federal Open Market Committee adjourns from its two-day meeting this afternoon and is widely expected to lower the Fed Funds Rate.  This does not mean that mortgage rates are being lowered, too. The definition of Fed Funds Rate from the Federal Reserve: The federal funds rate is the rate charged by one depository institution […]

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The Week In Review (October 29, 2007) : What To Watch For

October 29, 2007

Strong earnings from Apple, American Express, Microsoft and Boeing helped to keep markets in balance last week after reports of weak business spending and poor housing data (again). The available data doesn’t seem to match corporate earnings reports and that is giving investors fits. Mortgage rates bounced around last week on the lack of conviction […]

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Is A Fed Funds Rate Cut Good News Or Bad News? It Depends On Your Perspective.

October 26, 2007

The Federal Open Market Committee is widely expected to lower the Fed Funds Rate next week. For holders of credit cards and home equity lines of credit, this is good news. Both of these financial products feature interest rates tied to Prime Rate. Prime Rate is tied to the Fed Funds Rate. When the Fed […]

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How Japan And China Can Impact The Mortgage Rate On Your Home

October 17, 2007

Mortgage rates are determined by the prices of mortgage bonds; this, we’ve covered before.  As bonds prices go up, bond rates come down. And the price of a mortgage bond is a matter of Supply and Demand. The greater the demand for a bond, the higher its price.  High demand for bonds is one reason […]

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Retail Sales Data Gives Mortgage Markets Something To Chew On

October 15, 2007

Until this morning, mortgage markets had been somewhat dormant over the course of the week.  There was no new data for traders to chew, digest and/or spit out.  Mortgage rates sat flat because of it. Then, at 8:30 A.M. ET, the Commerce Department released Retail Sales data for September.  Mortgage rates are headed higher this morning on […]

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